Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Slight YES lean at 57%. Momentum is falling. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$75.44 (+75%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability57.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Falling24h Price Change: -3.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CInformed flowPrice forming
- Price dropped -3.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Falling
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$490
Liquidity$7K
Current Probability57%
Resolves in21d
Low VolatilityVol: 5.1% → 2.9%
21 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Good entry point — prices are stable with room to move
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AI Brief
Market expects at least one FOMC dissent in April's decision with 57% confidence, down 3.5% in 24 hours suggesting recent hawkish messaging may have unified the board. The $4.8K liquidity and modest volume suggest limited trader conviction, with the catalyst being the April 29 decision announcement.