Will three people dissent the April Fed decision?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (91% NO).
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$1011.11 (+1011%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability9.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -0.5%Volume trend: steadyLiquidity: CMixed flowPrice stable for 19 days
- Price moved -0.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: steady
- Mixed capital flow
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$81
Liquidity$5K
Current Probability9%
Resolves in21d
Low VolatilityVol: 2.9% → 2.0%
21 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets4
AI Brief
The April Fed dissent market is betting against a three-dissent outcome, pricing it at just 7%—reflecting historical rarity of such deep disagreement among FOMC members. Volume is thin ($440 24h), suggesting limited conviction, and the +0.5% price move hints at marginal repricing as the April 29 decision approaches; drivers likely include current economic data and expectations around rate trajectory.