Will Bahrain strike Iran by April 30?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (96% NO). Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$2400.00 (+2400%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability4.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -0.2%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CInformed flowPrice stable for 15 days
- Price moved -0.2pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$6K
Liquidity$15K
Current Probability4%
Resolves in22d
Low VolatilityVol: 2.2% → 1.8%
22 days until resolution. Price movements are small and steady.
Trending but far out — price may revert