Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (94% NO). Momentum is falling. Large trader flow is active. Resolves in 3 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$1566.67 (+1567%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability6.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Falling24h Price Change: -2.2%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price dropped -2.2pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Falling
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$69K
Liquidity$43K
Current Probability6%
Resolves in2d
ConvergenceVol: 49.9% → 23.6%
55h to resolution. Convergence zone — prices move toward 0 or 100.
Late entry — expensive but high conviction
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AI Brief
The 200-219 tweet range for April 3-10 is at 10%, representing a more plausible middle-ground band than adjacent ranges. This suggests some meaningful probability the market assigns to Musk posting in the low-200s during a typical active week.