Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (100% NO). Large trader flow is active. Resolves in 3 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$-100.00 (-100%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability0.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -0.3%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price moved -0.3pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$83K
Liquidity$44K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in2d
ConvergenceVol: 23.5% → 13.0%
55h to resolution. Convergence zone — prices move toward 0 or 100.
Late entry — expensive but high conviction
Related Markets15
AI Brief
Elon's tweet volume hitting 420-439 between April 3-10 prices at 0% odds, suggesting the range is either historically inconsistent with his posting patterns or falls outside his typical week-to-week variance. The market expires April 10, making this a near-term resolved event with minimal replicable probability.