Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (100% NO). Large trader flow is active. Resolves in 3 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$-100.00 (-100%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability0.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -0.1%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price moved -0.1pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$73K
Liquidity$48K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in2d
ConvergenceVol: 14.8% → 9.5%
55h to resolution. Convergence zone — prices move toward 0 or 100.
Late entry — expensive but high conviction
Related Markets15
AI Brief
Specific tweet volume prediction (440-459 tweets in 8-day window) is priced at zero, as Musk's posting rate fluctuates unpredictably and this narrow band leaves no margin for variance.