Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (100% NO). Large trader flow is active. Resolves in 2 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$-100.00 (-100%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability0.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -0.4%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price moved -0.4pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$84K
Liquidity$74K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in1d
ConvergenceVol: 35.4% → 17.8%
40h to resolution. Convergence zone — prices move toward 0 or 100.
Late entry — expensive but high conviction
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AI Brief
This market requires Musk to post 400-419 tweets in a single week, averaging 57-60 tweets daily. Current consensus at 100% NO reflects the implausibility of sustained posting at that frequency despite his known high activity. The April 10 expiration means this resolves in four days with minimal time for catalyst shifts.