Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (100% NO). Informed flow observed. Resolves in 3 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$-100.00 (-100%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability0.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: risingLiquidity: BInformed flowPrice forming
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$33K
Liquidity$78K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in2d
ConvergenceVol: 54.2% → 25.3%
55h to resolution. Convergence zone — prices move toward 0 or 100.
Late entry — expensive but high conviction
Related Markets15
AI Brief
The market assigns 0% probability that Elon Musk tweets exactly 140-159 times in the April 3-10 window, treating this narrow range as effectively impossible to hit given his unpredictable posting patterns. The specific bracket constraints make this outcome highly unlikely rather than his overall tweeting volume being uncertain.