About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (100% NO). Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$-100.00 (-100%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability0.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: risingLiquidity: BInformed flowPrice stable for 6 days
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$5K
Liquidity$127K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in23d
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
23 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
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AI Brief
Ethereum reaching $3,600 by April sits at 0% conviction, representing a 38%+ bull move in a single month that traders price as impossible without unthinkable macro catalysts. This extreme strike is pure liquidation protection for short volatility traders.