Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (94% NO). Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$1566.67 (+1567%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability6.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -0.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price moved -0.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$263
Liquidity$23K
Current Probability6%
Resolves in8mo
Low VolatilityVol: 3.1% → 2.1%
267 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
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AI Brief
The Fed hitting 0% or negative rates before 2027 sits at just 6% YES odds, reflecting minimal market conviction in such an extreme scenario. This would require either a severe financial crisis or deflationary spiral—neither of which current market conditions suggest. The thin 24h volume ($100) signals low trader interest in a tail-risk outcome with no near-term catalysts.