About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 36% YES. Momentum is falling. Resolves in under 24 hours.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$177.78 (+178%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability36.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Falling24h Price Change: -3.5%Volume trend: coolingLiquidity: BMixed flowPrice forming
- Price dropped -3.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Falling
- Volume trend: cooling
- Price move: Price moved down to 35.5% from 39.0% baseline — 9% shift
- Mixed capital flow
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$19K
Liquidity$72K
Current Probability36%
Resolves inEnded
No end dateVol: 4.2% → 3.8%
No resolution date. Volatility follows news flow.
News-driven — enter on signal, size down for uncertainty
Related Markets2
Anomalies
WarningPricez=2.5