About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans YES at 71%.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$40.85 (+41%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability71.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -2.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CMixed flowPrice stable for 62 days
- Price dropped -2.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Mixed capital flow
MARKET SENTIMENTBullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$7K
Liquidity$68K
Current Probability71%
Resolves in8mo
Low VolatilityVol: 2.7% → 2.0%
267 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert