Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in March 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (99% NO). Informed flow observed. Resolves in 3 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$9900.00 (+9900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability1.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -0.4%Volume trend: steadyLiquidity: CInformed flowPrice forming
- Price moved -0.4pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: steady
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$3K
Liquidity$7K
Current Probability1%
Resolves in2d
ConvergenceVol: 20.0% → 11.6%
54h to resolution. Convergence zone — prices move toward 0 or 100.
Late entry — expensive but high conviction