Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in March 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (97% NO). Momentum is falling. Informed flow observed. Resolves in 3 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$3233.33 (+3233%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability3.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Falling24h Price Change: -2.1%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BInformed flowPrice forming
- Price dropped -2.1pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Falling
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$5K
Liquidity$3K
Current Probability3%
Resolves in2d
ConvergenceVol: 27.8% → 14.7%
57h to resolution. Convergence zone — prices move toward 0 or 100.
Late entry — expensive but high conviction