Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in March 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans YES at 77%. Momentum is strong up. Resolves in 3 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$29.87 (+30%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability77.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong up24h Price Change: +54.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CMixed flowPrice forming
- Price jumped +54.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong up
- Volume trend: rising
- Mixed capital flow
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$4K
Liquidity$4K
Current Probability77%
Resolves in2d
Active tradingVol: 55.3% → 24.2%
2d to resolution. Active trading window — peak volatility expected.
Momentum building — watch for breakout signals