Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 83% NO. Momentum is rising. Resolves in under 24 hours.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$488.24 (+488%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability17.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Rising24h Price Change: +11.1%Volume trend: steadyLiquidity: BMixed flowPrice forming
- Price jumped +11.1pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Rising
- Volume trend: steady
- Price move: Price moved up to 17.9% from 4.4% baseline — 304% shift
- Mixed capital flow
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$6K
Liquidity$3K
Current Probability17%
Resolves in15h
ConvergenceVol: 104.5% → 45.4%
Last 15h. Prices converging sharply toward resolution.
Convergence starting — sharp moves likely in next 24h
Related Markets5
Anomalies
WarningPricez=2.7