Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 85% NO. Momentum is strong down. Predominantly retail flow. Resolves in 3 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$566.67 (+567%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability15.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong down24h Price Change: -56.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CRetail pressureOutflowPrice forming
- Price dropped -56.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong down
- Volume trend: rising
- Retail pressure observed
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$13K
Liquidity$6K
Current Probability15%
Resolves in2d
ConvergenceVol: 68.2% → 30.9%
53h to resolution. Convergence zone — prices move toward 0 or 100.
Late entry — expensive but high conviction