Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans YES at 73%. Momentum is falling. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$36.99 (+37%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability73.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Falling24h Price Change: -5.0%Volume trend: steadyLiquidity: BInformed flowPrice forming
- Price dropped -5.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Falling
- Volume trend: steady
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$138K
Liquidity$134K
Current Probability73%
Resolves in1mo
Low VolatilityVol: 5.3% → 3.0%
35 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert