Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 86% NO. Large trader flow is active. Resolves in 3 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$566.67 (+567%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability15.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -1.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price moved -1.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$52K
Liquidity$40K
Current Probability15%
Resolves in2d
ConvergenceVol: 19.0% → 11.2%
57h to resolution. Convergence zone — prices move toward 0 or 100.
Late entry — expensive but high conviction
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AI Brief
Elon Musk's 220-239 tweet range (April 3-10) prices at 15% YES vs 85% NO, making it the most plausible of his three tweet-count markets but still heavily disfavored. The spread between this lower range and the 480-499 variant indicates market confidence that his typical output lands outside both brackets. This suggests weekly volume in either 240+ or sub-220 range.