Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 83% NO. Large trader flow is active. Resolves in 3 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$455.56 (+456%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability18.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +2.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price jumped +2.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$33K
Liquidity$38K
Current Probability18%
Resolves in2d
Active tradingVol: 11.6% → 6.7%
2d to resolution. Active trading window — peak volatility expected.
Momentum building — watch for breakout signals
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AI Brief
The 280-299 tweet range for April 3-10 is priced at 16%, the highest probability across Musk's tweet-count buckets for that week. The +1% move suggests increasing confidence this represents a realistic estimate of his posting volume during a 7-day window.