Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (94% NO). Large trader flow is active. Resolves in 3 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$1328.57 (+1329%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability7.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -1.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price moved -1.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$39K
Liquidity$42K
Current Probability7%
Resolves in2d
ConvergenceVol: 24.8% → 13.5%
54h to resolution. Convergence zone — prices move toward 0 or 100.
Late entry — expensive but high conviction
Related Markets15
AI Brief
Elon Musk's 300-319 tweet range for April 3-10 sits at 6% and declining 3%, requiring sustained posting well above his typical daily average of roughly 30-40 tweets. The eight-day window and specific volume target make execution unlikely despite his erratic posting patterns. Catalyst is the April 10 expiration date with little precedent for this volume level.