About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects YES (97%). Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$3.09 (+3%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability97.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +0.1%Volume trend: coolingLiquidity: BInformed flowPrice stable for 6 days
- Price moved +0.1pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$2K
Liquidity$18K
Current Probability97%
Resolves in21mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.3% → 1.0%
633 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets7
AI Brief
Genius token's pre-launch FDV prediction shows 97% confidence it will exceed $50 million on day one, reflecting strong hype and typical launch momentum for projects with significant pre-market anticipation. The high consensus and good liquidity indicate this is a consensus trade. Catalyst is the official product launch.