About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans YES at 88%. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$13.64 (+14%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability88.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +1.0%Volume trend: steadyLiquidity: CInformed flowPrice stable for 6 days
- Price moved +1.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: steady
- Price move: Price moved up to 87.2% from 86.0% baseline — 1% shift
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$3K
Liquidity$24K
Current Probability88%
Resolves in21mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.4% → 1.1%
633 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets7
AI Brief
Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch carries 88% YES consensus, indicating strong pre-market expectations for a successful, well-capitalized launch. The high conviction suggests robust community backing and trading infrastructure ready at launch.
Anomalies
CriticalPricez=9.7