About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (97% NO). Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$3233.33 (+3233%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability3.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +1.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price moved +1.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$40K
Liquidity$46K
Current Probability3%
Resolves in21mo
Low VolatilityVol: 55.4% → 23.1%
633 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets7
AI Brief
Genius token's post-launch FDV is priced at just 4% probability to exceed $1B one day after launch, reflecting extreme skepticism about launch valuations in the current market. The -2.8% 24h decline and 2-year timeline indicate declining retail interest in speculative pre-market tokens.