About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans YES at 80%. Momentum is rising. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$25.00 (+25%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability80.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Rising24h Price Change: +2.5%Volume trend: steadyLiquidity: CInformed flowPrice stable for 6 days
- Price jumped +2.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Rising
- Volume trend: steady
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$4K
Liquidity$31K
Current Probability80%
Resolves in21mo
Low VolatilityVol: 2.2% → 1.8%
633 days until resolution. Price movements are small and steady.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets7
AI Brief
Genius token hitting $100M FDV at launch is favored at 80% YES, priced above comparable projects and suggesting market confidence in the platform's initial traction and user base. The +3% 24h move supports positive momentum, and $26.7K liquidity shows moderate conviction backing this outcome. Launch date and distribution quality are the primary catalysts.