About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (95% NO). Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$1900.00 (+1900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability5.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -0.2%Volume trend: steadyLiquidity: BInformed flowPrice stable for 6 days
- Price moved -0.2pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: steady
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$6K
Liquidity$32K
Current Probability5%
Resolves in21mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.9% → 1.3%
633 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets7
AI Brief
Genius token's $500M FDV on launch day is at 6% odds, placing it slightly more likely than MegaETH ($3B target) but still heavily discounted. Pre-market airdrops face execution risk and tokenomics uncertainty; the 95% NO reflects cautious baseline expectations.