About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 83% NO. Momentum is falling.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$455.56 (+456%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability18.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Falling24h Price Change: -7.5%Volume trend: coolingLiquidity: CMixed flowPrice forming
- Price dropped -7.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Falling
- Volume trend: cooling
- Mixed capital flow
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$4K
Liquidity$22K
Current Probability18%
Resolves in21mo
Low VolatilityVol: 16.1% → 7.3%
633 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets7
AI Brief
Genius at $300M FDV is a steeper ask, with only 22% backing this outcome versus 42% for the $200M level. This price reveals diminishing conviction as the valuation bar rises, typical of token launch uncertainty.