About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 41% YES. Momentum is falling.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$143.90 (+144%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability41.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Falling24h Price Change: -5.3%Volume trend: coolingLiquidity: CMixed flowPrice forming
- Price dropped -5.3pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Falling
- Volume trend: cooling
- Mixed capital flow
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$3K
Liquidity$18K
Current Probability41%
Resolves in21mo
Low VolatilityVol: 3.4% → 2.3%
633 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Good entry point — prices are stable with room to move
Related Markets7
AI Brief
Genius token is given a 42% chance of exceeding $200M FDV on launch day, showing balanced but slightly bearish sentiment on valuation. The neutral probability suggests traders are genuinely uncertain about post-launch momentum for this pre-market token.