Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (91% NO). Momentum is strong down. Large trader flow is active. Resolves in under 24 hours.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$1011.11 (+1011%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability9.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong down24h Price Change: -16.9%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActiveFresh market
- Price dropped -16.9pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong down
- Volume trend: rising
- Price move: Price moved up to 7.0% from 3.5% baseline — 103% shift
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$62K
Liquidity$18K
Current Probability9%
Resolves in8h
ConvergenceVol: 40.3% → 19.7%
Last 9h. Prices converging sharply toward resolution.
Late entry — expensive but high conviction
Related Markets7
AI Brief
The 6% consensus reflects that posting 40-64 tweets from Elon Musk within a two-day window would require exceptional engagement well above his historical daily average, and the sharp 20% price decline signals fading conviction as the April 8 deadline approaches. The market is essentially pricing this outcome as nearly impossible absent an extraordinary catalyst.
Anomalies
CriticalPricez=4.6