Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (97% NO). Momentum is falling. Large trader flow is active. Resolves in under 24 hours.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$3233.33 (+3233%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability3.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Falling24h Price Change: -3.9%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price dropped -3.9pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Falling
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$54K
Liquidity$13K
Current Probability3%
Resolves in7h
ConvergenceVol: 45.0% → 21.6%
Last 7h. Prices converging sharply toward resolution.
Late entry — expensive but high conviction
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AI Brief
Elon Musk's tweet volume market expires in two days, with the YES side (115-139 tweets by April 8) priced at only 2% despite his typically high posting frequency. The tight resolution window and specific threshold make this a real-time volatility play dependent on Musk's immediate posting behavior.