Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (100% NO). Large trader flow is active. Resolves in under 24 hours.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$-100.00 (-100%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability0.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -1.3%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price moved -1.3pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$54K
Liquidity$10K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in5h
Final hourVol: 13.6% → 5.7%
Last 6h. Price nearly settled. Minimal movement expected.
Near settlement — exit window or hold to resolution
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AI Brief
The 140-164 tweet range over just 3 days (April 6-8) at 2% odds implies this requires unsustainable daily posting (46-54 tweets/day) relative to Elon's baseline, with near-immediate resolution as the deadline approaches April 8. The 0.5% 24h decline suggests traders see even lower conviction as the window tightens.