Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 33% YES. Momentum is rising. Large trader flow is active. Resolves in under 24 hours.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$203.03 (+203%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability33.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Rising24h Price Change: +11.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActiveFresh market
- Price jumped +11.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Rising
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$33K
Liquidity$7K
Current Probability33%
Resolves in8h
ConvergenceVol: 5.5% → 5.8%
Last 9h. Prices converging sharply toward resolution.
Convergence starting — sharp moves likely in next 24h
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AI Brief
Elon's 90-114 tweets over April 6-8 (a more moderate 30-38 per day) carries 16% probability, with the -6% 24h price drop suggesting declining belief in this middle band. The lower odds suggest traders expect either greater prolific tweeting or sustained silence relative to this range.