Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (100% NO). Large trader flow is active. Resolves in under 24 hours.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$-100.00 (-100%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability0.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -0.4%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActiveFresh market
- Price moved -0.4pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Price move: Price moved down to 0.2% from 0.4% baseline — 59% shift
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$42K
Liquidity$28K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in8h
ConvergenceVol: 35.0% → 17.6%
Last 9h. Prices converging sharply toward resolution.
Late entry — expensive but high conviction
Related Markets7
AI Brief
The 165-189 tweet range for April 6-8 prices at 0% as essentially impossible, requiring Musk to average 55-63 tweets daily over just three days—far above historical norms and suggesting the market treats this as technical zero. With only two days remaining before expiration, odds reflect the vanishing probability window. This appears to be a dead market with no realistic path to resolution.
Anomalies
CriticalPricez=5.6