Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (100% NO). Large trader flow is active. Resolves in under 24 hours.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$-100.00 (-100%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability0.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -0.2%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActiveFresh market
- Price moved -0.2pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$27K
Liquidity$14K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in8h
ConvergenceVol: 52.8% → 24.7%
Last 9h. Prices converging sharply toward resolution.
Late entry — expensive but high conviction
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AI Brief
Elon Musk posting 190-214 tweets April 6-8 carries zero probability, implying the market expects his output well outside both this range and the higher 215-239 band. These tweet-count markets resolve mechanically within days.