Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 71% NO. Momentum is rising. Informed flow observed. Resolves in 5 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$244.83 (+245%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability29.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Rising24h Price Change: +4.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BInformed flowPrice forming
- Price jumped +4.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Rising
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$39K
Liquidity$68K
Current Probability29%
Resolves in4d
Active tradingVol: 6.3% → 4.6%
4d to resolution. Active trading window — peak volatility expected.
Momentum building — watch for breakout signals
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AI Brief
Peruvian presidential frontrunner Keiko Fujimori sits at just 25% despite leading most polls, indicating strong market skepticism about either prediction market inaccuracy or late-race dynamics. The April 12 election is 6 days away, making this the nearest-term election catalyst on the slate. Low liquidity ($72k) suggests limited conviction either direction.