Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 88% NO. Informed flow observed. Resolves in 5 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$733.33 (+733%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability12.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +2.1%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BInformed flowPrice forming
- Price jumped +2.1pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$82K
Liquidity$46K
Current Probability12%
Resolves in4d
Active tradingVol: 10.1% → 6.1%
4d to resolution. Active trading window — peak volatility expected.
Momentum building — watch for breakout signals
Related Markets15
AI Brief
Ricardo Belmont faces a 90% headwind in Peru's April 12 runoff, but a 3.1% overnight gain suggests late-campaign traction. With 6 days until resolution, this is a near-term catalyst binary for Peruvian politics traders.