Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (100% NO). Large trader flow is active. Resolves in 5 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$-100.00 (-100%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability0.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActiveMature market (112d)
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$41K
Liquidity$72K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in4d
Active tradingVol: 0.0% → 3.5%
4d to resolution. Active trading window — peak volatility expected.
Momentum building — watch for breakout signals
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AI Brief
José Luna has zero market probability of winning Peru's April 12, 2026 presidential election, reflecting dominant market consensus that he is not the frontrunner. With only five days until resolution, the market has already priced the outcome with extreme certainty, and no meaningful catalysts remain. The high liquidity-to-volume ratio suggests traders are hedging rather than speculating at this stage.