Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (100% NO). Large trader flow is active. Resolves in 5 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$-100.00 (-100%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability0.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActiveMature market (112d)
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$39K
Liquidity$54K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in4d
Active tradingVol: 0.0% → 3.5%
4d to resolution. Active trading window — peak volatility expected.
Momentum building — watch for breakout signals
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AI Brief
Cerrón's zero odds to win Peru's April 12 presidential election reflect his current imprisonment and legal barring from candidacy. Despite some past populist support, his complete inability to campaign makes this the most settled market in the Peruvian slate.