Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (100% NO). Large trader flow is active. Resolves in 5 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$-100.00 (-100%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability0.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +0.1%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price moved +0.1pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Price move: Price moved up to 0.1% from 0.1% baseline — 79% shift
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$17K
Liquidity$50K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in4d
Active tradingVol: 34.7% → 16.0%
4d to resolution. Active trading window — peak volatility expected.
Momentum building — watch for breakout signals
Related Markets15
AI Brief
Roberto Chiabra has zero implied probability to win Peru's April 12 election, indicating he is not a viable candidate in polling or elite consensus ahead of the imminent vote. With resolution in 5 days, this essentially reflects final electoral math rather than residual uncertainty.
Anomalies
WarningPricez=2.8