Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (99% NO). Informed flow observed. Resolves in 5 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$9900.00 (+9900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability1.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -0.4%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BInformed flowPrice forming
- Price moved -0.4pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$18K
Liquidity$46K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in4d
Active tradingVol: 5.5% → 4.3%
4d to resolution. Active trading window — peak volatility expected.
Momentum building — watch for breakout signals
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AI Brief
Espá at 1% odds for Peru's April 12 presidential is likewise priced as a non-starter despite his establishment credentials. The crowded field and his weak polling position relative to stronger centrist and leftist contenders have effectively eliminated him from serious contention.