Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (100% NO). Large trader flow is active. Resolves in 5 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$-100.00 (-100%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability0.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$30K
Liquidity$42K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in4d
Active tradingVol: 13.1% → 7.3%
4d to resolution. Active trading window — peak volatility expected.
Momentum building — watch for breakout signals
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AI Brief
Belaúnde Llosa's zero odds for Peru's April 12 election reflect his minor status among viable candidates; centrist candidates and stronger leftist challengers dominate Lima's preference polling. His exclusion from serious runoff scenarios is decisive.