Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (100% NO). Informed flow observed. Resolves in 5 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$-100.00 (-100%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability0.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: risingLiquidity: CInformed flowMature market (112d)
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$29K
Liquidity$53K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in4d
Active tradingVol: 0.0% → 3.5%
4d to resolution. Active trading window — peak volatility expected.
Momentum building — watch for breakout signals
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AI Brief
Mesías Guevara is priced at 0% for Peru's April 12 election just five days away, indicating he has been mathematically eliminated from contention or lacks meaningful polling support relative to front-runners. The market has spoken decisively against this specific candidate in the final stretch.