US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? Current market probability and liquidity view
Structured market read for the March 31, 2026 contract with focus on implied probability, spread and depth balance.
This contract extends the event horizon and often carries a different liquidity profile from shorter-term variants. Comparing spread and depth across related expiries helps avoid execution surprises.
Probability should be interpreted as price-implied consensus under current liquidity, not as a fixed forecast. In fast conditions, both quote and depth can change within seconds.
Use archived analysis pages for context, then jump to the live anchored market card to verify current bid, ask, midpoint and spread before placing an order.
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