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Fed Markets

FOMC Rate Decision

Federal Reserve interest rate decision + SEP projections

FOMC Rate Decision

Federal Reserve interest rate decision and statement

FOMC Rate Decision

Federal Reserve interest rate decision + SEP projections

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Live odds, scenario breakdowns, and FAQs for the most-traded prediction markets.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
YES 33% · NO 67%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
YES 42% · NO 58%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
YES 1% · NO 99%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
YES 13% · NO 87%
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
YES 0% · NO 100%
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
YES 98% · NO 2%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
YES 57% · NO 43%
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
YES 2% · NO 98%

Polymarket Trade — Live Prediction Markets & Trading

Syncing…Updated 12:10:00 UTC · 25 markets

Top Volume (24h)

$35K · Fed rate hike in 2026?$24K · Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$17K · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Biggest Movers (1h)

+0.5% · Will two people dissent the June Fed decision?-0.1% · Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?-0.1% · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Just Updated

12:05:13 UTC · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?12:04:49 UTC · Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?12:04:28 UTC · Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 YES shares at 36¢

Total cost: $35.50

Payout if YES wins: $100

Potential profit: +$64.50

ROI: 182%

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 NO shares at 65¢

Total cost: $64.50

Payout if NO wins: $100

Potential profit: +$35.50

ROI: 55%

$35K VOL·$64K LIQ

LIVE

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Fed

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 YES shares at 68¢

Total cost: $68.15

Payout if YES wins: $100

Potential profit: +$31.85

ROI: 47%

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 NO shares at 32¢

Total cost: $31.85

Payout if NO wins: $100

Potential profit: +$68.15

ROI: 214%

$24K VOL·$84K LIQ

LIVE

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Fed

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 YES shares at 93¢

Total cost: $92.50

Payout if YES wins: $100

Potential profit: +$7.50

ROI: 8%

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 NO shares at 8¢

Total cost: $7.50

Payout if NO wins: $100

Potential profit: +$92.50

ROI: 1233%

🔥$15K VOL·$110K LIQ

LIVE

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Fed

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 YES shares at 5¢

Total cost: $5.25

Payout if YES wins: $100

Potential profit: +$94.75

ROI: 1805%

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 NO shares at 95¢

Total cost: $94.75

Payout if NO wins: $100

Potential profit: +$5.25

ROI: 6%

🔥$17K VOL·$117K LIQ

LIVE

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Fed

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 YES shares at 18¢

Total cost: $17.50

Payout if YES wins: $100

Potential profit: +$82.50

ROI: 471%

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 NO shares at 83¢

Total cost: $82.50

Payout if NO wins: $100

Potential profit: +$17.50

ROI: 21%

$8K VOL·$64K LIQ

LIVE

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Fed

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 YES shares at 8¢

Total cost: $7.50

Payout if YES wins: $100

Potential profit: +$92.50

ROI: 1233%

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 NO shares at 93¢

Total cost: $92.50

Payout if NO wins: $100

Potential profit: +$7.50

ROI: 8%

$11K VOL·$67K LIQ

LIVE

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Fed

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 YES shares at 17¢

Total cost: $16.50

Payout if YES wins: $100

Potential profit: +$83.50

ROI: 506%

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 NO shares at 84¢

Total cost: $83.50

Payout if NO wins: $100

Potential profit: +$16.50

ROI: 20%

$541 VOL·$52K LIQ

LIVE

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Fed

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 YES shares at 71¢

Total cost: $71.00

Payout if YES wins: $100

Potential profit: +$29.00

ROI: 41%

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 NO shares at 29¢

Total cost: $29.00

Payout if NO wins: $100

Potential profit: +$71.00

ROI: 245%

$406 VOL·$32K LIQ

LIVE

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Fed

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 YES shares at 4¢

Total cost: $3.95

Payout if YES wins: $100

Potential profit: +$96.05

ROI: 2432%

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 NO shares at 96¢

Total cost: $96.05

Payout if NO wins: $100

Potential profit: +$3.95

ROI: 4%

$1K VOL·$77K LIQ

LIVE

Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?

Fed

Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 YES shares at 16¢

Total cost: $16.40

Payout if YES wins: $100

Potential profit: +$83.60

ROI: 510%

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 NO shares at 84¢

Total cost: $83.60

Payout if NO wins: $100

Potential profit: +$16.40

ROI: 20%

$102 VOL·$22K LIQ

LIVE

Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?

Fed

Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 YES shares at 13¢

Total cost: $12.60

Payout if YES wins: $100

Potential profit: +$87.40

ROI: 694%

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 NO shares at 87¢

Total cost: $87.40

Payout if NO wins: $100

Potential profit: +$12.60

ROI: 14%

$142 VOL·$22K LIQ

LIVE

Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?

Fed

Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 YES shares at 28¢

Total cost: $28.00

Payout if YES wins: $100

Potential profit: +$72.00

ROI: 257%

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 NO shares at 72¢

Total cost: $72.00

Payout if NO wins: $100

Potential profit: +$28.00

ROI: 39%

$296 VOL·$13K LIQ

LIVE

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?

Fed

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 YES shares at 6¢

Total cost: $5.75

Payout if YES wins: $100

Potential profit: +$94.25

ROI: 1639%

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 NO shares at 94¢

Total cost: $94.25

Payout if NO wins: $100

Potential profit: +$5.75

ROI: 6%

$1K VOL·$24K LIQ

LIVE

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Fed

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 YES shares at 10¢

Total cost: $9.50

Payout if YES wins: $100

Potential profit: +$90.50

ROI: 953%

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 NO shares at 91¢

Total cost: $90.50

Payout if NO wins: $100

Potential profit: +$9.50

ROI: 10%

$1K VOL·$25K LIQ

LIVE

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Fed

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 YES shares at 29¢

Total cost: $28.50

Payout if YES wins: $100

Potential profit: +$71.50

ROI: 251%

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 NO shares at 72¢

Total cost: $71.50

Payout if NO wins: $100

Potential profit: +$28.50

ROI: 40%

$992 VOL·$21K LIQ

LIVE

Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?

Fed

Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 YES shares at 5¢

Total cost: $4.55

Payout if YES wins: $100

Potential profit: +$95.45

ROI: 2098%

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 NO shares at 95¢

Total cost: $95.45

Payout if NO wins: $100

Potential profit: +$4.55

ROI: 5%

$120 VOL·$20K LIQ

LIVE

Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

Fed

Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 YES shares at 8¢

Total cost: $8.00

Payout if YES wins: $100

Potential profit: +$92.00

ROI: 1150%

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 NO shares at 92¢

Total cost: $92.00

Payout if NO wins: $100

Potential profit: +$8.00

ROI: 9%

$2K VOL·$22K LIQ

LIVE

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?

Fed

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 YES shares at 4¢

Total cost: $3.75

Payout if YES wins: $100

Potential profit: +$96.25

ROI: 2567%

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 NO shares at 96¢

Total cost: $96.25

Payout if NO wins: $100

Potential profit: +$3.75

ROI: 4%

$81 VOL·$11K LIQ

LIVE

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?

Fed

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 YES shares at 9¢

Total cost: $8.65

Payout if YES wins: $100

Potential profit: +$91.35

ROI: 1056%

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 NO shares at 91¢

Total cost: $91.35

Payout if NO wins: $100

Potential profit: +$8.65

ROI: 9%

$100 VOL·$6K LIQ

LIVE

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?

Fed

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 YES shares at 21¢

Total cost: $21.00

Payout if YES wins: $100

Potential profit: +$79.00

ROI: 376%

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 NO shares at 79¢

Total cost: $79.00

Payout if NO wins: $100

Potential profit: +$21.00

ROI: 27%

$323 VOL·$5K LIQ

LIVE

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?

Fed

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 YES shares at 14¢

Total cost: $14.00

Payout if YES wins: $100

Potential profit: +$86.00

ROI: 614%

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 NO shares at 86¢

Total cost: $86.00

Payout if NO wins: $100

Potential profit: +$14.00

ROI: 16%

$217 VOL·$9K LIQ

LIVE

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by June 30, 2026?

Fed

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by June 30, 2026?

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 YES shares at 6¢

Total cost: $5.50

Payout if YES wins: $100

Potential profit: +$94.50

ROI: 1718%

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 NO shares at 95¢

Total cost: $94.50

Payout if NO wins: $100

Potential profit: +$5.50

ROI: 6%

$212 VOL·$7K LIQ

LIVE

Will two people dissent the June Fed decision?

Fed

Will two people dissent the June Fed decision?

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 YES shares at 10¢

Total cost: $10.00

Payout if YES wins: $100

Potential profit: +$90.00

ROI: 900%

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 NO shares at 90¢

Total cost: $90.00

Payout if NO wins: $100

Potential profit: +$10.00

ROI: 11%

$91 VOL·$1K LIQ

LIVE

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027?

Fed

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027?

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 YES shares at 5¢

Total cost: $4.50

Payout if YES wins: $100

Potential profit: +$95.50

ROI: 2122%

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 NO shares at 96¢

Total cost: $95.50

Payout if NO wins: $100

Potential profit: +$4.50

ROI: 5%

$157 VOL·$5K LIQ

LIVE

Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?

Fed

Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 YES shares at 16¢

Total cost: $15.50

Payout if YES wins: $100

Potential profit: +$84.50

ROI: 545%

Quick Trade Preview

Buy 100 NO shares at 85¢

Total cost: $84.50

Payout if NO wins: $100

Potential profit: +$15.50

ROI: 18%

$116 VOL·$14K LIQ

LIVE